QB · pick 98, First QB at #98 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping. (1981)

QB·pick 98

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #98

Mark Herrmann

Drafted by DEN , GM Edgar Kaiser/staff · Purdue

1981 · round 4

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

QBs drafted at #98 in NFL history

most recent: Matt Barkley (PHI, 2013)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1980, the model gave a quarterback at #98 a 4.9% chance in 1981.

Quarterback at #98, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 5.3% · 2027 model: 3.3%

Surrounding picks · 1981 draft

#93LBGuy FrazierCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#94TETim SherwinIND , GM Dick Szymanski
#95STodd BellCHI , GM Jim Finks
#96QBBrad WrightMIA , GM Don Shula
#97WRRon WashingtonKC , GM Jim Schaaf
#99WRTracy PorterDET , GM Russ Thomas
#100WRRobbie MartinPIT , GM Dick Haley
#101CBJohn SwainMIN , GM Mike Lynn
#102LBDon BlackmonNE , GM Bucko Kilroy
#103RBAmos LawrenceLAC , GM Steve Ortmayer

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2013Matt BarkleyPHI , GM Howie Roseman · USC
1987Rich GannonNE , GM Patrick Sullivan · Delaware

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