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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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RB·pick 1

FIRST RB IN OUR WINDOW AT #1

O. J. Simpson

Drafted by BUF · USC

1969 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, RB grouping.

7
RBs drafted at #1 in NFL history
most recent: Ki-Jana Carter (CIN, 1995)

How rare was this draftigami?

No rarity score , the model compares each pick to its predictions for earlier seasons, and drafts from 1967–1969 sit before that runway is long enough.

Running back at #1, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%24.3%

Peak: 24.3% · 2027 model: 1.3%

Surrounding picks · 1969 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 6 picks

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