Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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RB·pick 123

FIRST RB IN OUR WINDOW AT #123

Andrew Bolton

Drafted by SEA · Fisk

1976 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, RB grouping.

5
RBs drafted at #123 in NFL history
most recent: Isaiah Spiller (LAC, 2022)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1975, the model gave a running back at #123 a 13.5% chance in 1976.

Running back at #123, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%15.7% 1976: 13.5%

Peak: 15.7% · 2027 model: 8.1%

Surrounding picks · 1976 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

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