Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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RB·pick 15

FIRST RB IN OUR WINDOW AT #15

Don Hardeman

Drafted by TEN · Texas A&I

1975 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, RB grouping.

4
RBs drafted at #15 in NFL history
most recent: Melvin Gordon (LAC, 2015)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1974, the model gave a running back at #15 a 16.8% chance in 1975.

Running back at #15, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%18.4% 1975: 16.8%

Peak: 18.4% · 2027 model: 3.8%

Surrounding picks · 1975 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

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