Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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RB·pick 167

FIRST RB IN OUR WINDOW AT #167

Herrera, AndreAndre Herrera

Drafted by KC · Southern Illinois

1977 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, RB grouping.

6
RBs drafted at #167 in NFL history
most recent: Keilan Robinson (JAX, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1976, the model gave a running back at #167 a 13.3% chance in 1977.

Running back at #167, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%15.4% 1977: 13.3%

Peak: 15.4% · 2027 model: 8.3%

Surrounding picks · 1977 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 5 picks

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