RB · pick 172, First RB at #172 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, RB grouping. (1984)

RB·pick 172

FIRST RB IN OUR WINDOW AT #172

Joe Hayes

Drafted by PHI , GM Jim Murray · Central Oklahoma

1984 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, RB grouping.

RBs drafted at #172 in NFL history

most recent: Eric Gray (NYG, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1983, the model gave a running back at #172 a 13.4% chance in 1984.

Running back at #172, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 15.4% · 2027 model: 8.8%

Surrounding picks · 1984 draft

#167OTCurt SingerWAS , GM Bobby Beathard
#168SStacey ToranLV , GM Al Davis
#169TEJay CarrollTB , GM Phil Krueger
#170RBWillie JoynerTEN , GM Ladd Herzeg
#171WRLionel ManuelNYG , GM George Young
#173CBKevin RossKC , GM Jim Schaaf
#174WRJesse BendrossLAC , GM Steve Ortmayer
#175LBKirk DodgeATL , GM Tom Braatz
#176SHarry HamiltonNYJ , GM Jim Kensil
#177LBLeo BarkerCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 7 picks

2023Eric GrayNYG , GM Joe Schoen · Oklahoma
2020Jason HuntleyDET , GM Bob Quinn · New Mexico St.
2008Thomas BrownATL , GM Thomas Dimitroff · Georgia
1999Cecil MartinPHI , GM Tom Modrak · Wisconsin
1989Undra JohnsonATL , GM Ken Herock · West Virginia
1988Gary PattonNYJ , GM Jim Kensil · Eastern Michigan
1985Kim LocklinCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · New Mexico St.

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