Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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RB·pick 182

FIRST RB IN OUR WINDOW AT #182

Tom Smith

Drafted by MIA · Miami (FL)

1973 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, RB grouping.

12
RBs drafted at #182 in NFL history
most recent: Trayveon Williams (CIN, 2019)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1972, the model gave a running back at #182 a 12.0% chance in 1973.

Running back at #182, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%15.3% 1973: 12.0%

Peak: 15.3% · 2027 model: 9.5%

Surrounding picks · 1973 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 11 picks

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