RB · pick 183, First RB at #183 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, RB grouping. (1977)

RB·pick 183

FIRST RB IN OUR WINDOW AT #183

Jim Van Wagner

Drafted by SF · Michigan Tech

1977 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, RB grouping.

RBs drafted at #183 in NFL history

most recent: Kevin Harris (NE, 2022)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1976, the model gave a running back at #183 a 13.6% chance in 1977.

Running back at #183, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 15.4% · 2027 model: 8.6%

Surrounding picks · 1977 draft

#177SChris GolubKC
#178TEAl DixonNYG
#179LBBlack, TimTim BlackDET
#180LBBruce HerronMIA
#182WRGerald ButlerCHI
#184TEBlane SmithCLE
#185STLarry SwiderDEN
#186DTFrisch, RandyRandy FrischPIT
#187CBLouis BreedenCIN
#188OTBob LingenfelterCLE

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 7 picks

2022Kevin HarrisNE , GM Bill Belichick · South Carolina
2011Jordan TodmanLAC , GM A.J. Smith · Connecticut
1998Dustin JohnsonNYJ , GM Bill Parcells · BYU
1996Tim HallLV , GM Al Davis era · Robert Morris
1989Marion ButtsLAC , GM Steve Ortmayer · Florida St.
1987Bo JacksonLV , GM Al Davis · Auburn
1978Steve PowellBUF · Northeast Missouri State

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