Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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RB·pick 203

FIRST RB IN OUR WINDOW AT #203

De'Angelo Henderson

Drafted by DEN , GM John Elway · Coastal Carolina

2017 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, RB grouping.

2
RBs drafted at #203 in NFL history
most recent: Trestan Ebner (CHI, 2022)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2016, the model gave a running back at #203 a 9.6% chance in 2017.

Running back at #203, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%15.3% 2017: 9.6%

Peak: 15.3% · 2027 model: 8.4%

Surrounding picks · 2017 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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