Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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RB·pick 209

FIRST RB IN OUR WINDOW AT #209

Brice Abrams

Drafted by PIT , GM Tom Donahoe · Michigan St.

1994 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, RB grouping.

2
RBs drafted at #209 in NFL history
most recent: Bernard Scott (CIN, 2009)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1993, the model gave a running back at #209 a 11.2% chance in 1994.

Running back at #209, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%15.2% 1994: 11.2%

Peak: 15.2% · 2027 model: 8.2%

Surrounding picks · 1994 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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