Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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RB·pick 226

FIRST RB IN OUR WINDOW AT #226

David Williams

Drafted by DEN , GM John Elway · Arkansas

2018 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, RB grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2017, the model gave a running back at #226 a 9.7% chance in 2018.

Running back at #226, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%15.2% 2018: 9.7%

Peak: 15.2% · 2027 model: 8.2%

Surrounding picks · 2018 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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