Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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RB·pick 23

FIRST RB IN OUR WINDOW AT #23

Duane Thomas

Drafted by DAL · West Texas A&M

1970 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, RB grouping.

7
RBs drafted at #23 in NFL history
most recent: Rashard Mendenhall (PIT, 2008)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1969, the model gave a running back at #23 a 17.2% chance in 1970.

Running back at #23, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%17.5% 1970: 17.2%

Peak: 17.5% · 2027 model: 4.9%

Surrounding picks · 1970 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 6 picks

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