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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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RB·pick 230

FIRST RB IN OUR WINDOW AT #230

Kerwynn Williams

Drafted by IND , GM Ryan Grigson · Utah St.

2013 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, RB grouping.

3
RBs drafted at #230 in NFL history
most recent: Eli Heidenreich (PIT, 2026)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2012, the model gave a running back at #230 a 8.3% chance in 2013.

Running back at #230, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%15.3% 2013: 8.3%

Peak: 15.3% · 2027 model: 8.7%

Surrounding picks · 2013 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

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