RB · pick 234, First RB at #234 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, RB grouping. (2003)

RB·pick 234

FIRST RB IN OUR WINDOW AT #234

Spencer Nead

Drafted by NE , GM Bill Belichick · BYU

2003 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, RB grouping.

RBs drafted at #234 in NFL history

most recent: Myles Gaskin (MIA, 2019)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2002, the model gave a running back at #234 a 8.3% chance in 2003.

Running back at #234, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 15.4% · 2027 model: 8.4%

Surrounding picks · 2003 draft

#229RBAndrew PinnockLAC , GM A.J. Smith
#230DTMontique SharpeKC , GM Carl Peterson
#231WRTalman GardnerNO , GM Mickey Loomis
#232QBGibran HamdanWAS , GM Vinny Cerrato
#233CChance PearceHOU , GM Charley Casserly
#235RBAhmaad GallowayDEN , GM Mike Shanahan
#236RBBrandon DrummDET , GM Matt Millen
#237OGDave YovanovitsNYJ , GM Terry Bradway
#238DEDemetrin VealATL , GM Harold Richardson
#239LBTully Banta-CainNE , GM Bill Belichick

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2019Myles GaskinMIA , GM Chris Grier · Washington

→ see this cell on the full chart