Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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RB·pick 240

FIRST RB IN OUR WINDOW AT #240

Cedric Humes

Drafted by PIT , GM Kevin Colbert · Virginia Tech

2006 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, RB grouping.

5
RBs drafted at #240 in NFL history
most recent: Marquez Williams (JAX, 2017)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2005, the model gave a running back at #240 a 8.4% chance in 2006.

Running back at #240, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%15.6% 2006: 8.4%

Peak: 15.6% · 2027 model: 9.1%

Surrounding picks · 2006 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

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