RB · pick 249, First RB at #249 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, RB grouping. (2017)

RB·pick 249

FIRST RB IN OUR WINDOW AT #249

Chris Carson

Drafted by SEA , GM John Schneider · Oklahoma St.

2017 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, RB grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2016, the model gave a running back at #249 a 9.8% chance in 2017.

Running back at #249, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 15.9% · 2027 model: 8.2%

Surrounding picks · 2017 draft

#244DTTreyvon HesterLV , GM Reggie McKenzie
#245CBJack TochoMIN , GM Rick Spielman
#246DTJordan CarrellDAL , GM Jerry Jones
#247WRMalachi DupreGB , GM Ted Thompson
#248LBKeion AdamsPIT , GM Kevin Colbert
#250DEPat O'ConnorDET , GM Bob Quinn
#251TEMason SchreckCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#252RBMatthew DayesCLE , GM Sashi Brown
#253QBChad KellyDEN , GM John Elway

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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