RB · pick 251, First RB at #251 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, RB grouping. (2002)

RB·pick 251

FIRST RB IN OUR WINDOW AT #251

Jarrett Ferguson

Drafted by BUF , GM Tom Donahoe · Virginia Tech

2002 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, RB grouping.

RBs drafted at #251 in NFL history

most recent: Isiah Pacheco (KC, 2022)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2001, the model gave a running back at #251 a 8.4% chance in 2002.

Running back at #251, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 16.0% · 2027 model: 9.0%

Surrounding picks · 2002 draft

#246CBSteve SmithJAX , GM Tom Coughlin
#247STHayden EpsteinJAX , GM Tom Coughlin
#248OGKyle KosierSF , GM Terry Donahue
#249WRRodney WrightBUF , GM Tom Donahoe
#250TETracey WistromTB , GM Rich McKay
#252TEMatt MurphyDET , GM Matt Millen
#253WRDavid GivensNE , GM Bill Belichick
#254WRAaron LockettTB , GM Rich McKay
#255CZack QuacciaTB , GM Rich McKay
#256CBTeddy GainesSF , GM Terry Donahue

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2022Isiah PachecoKC , GM Brett Veach · Rutgers
2018Justin JacksonLAC , GM Tom Telesco · Northwestern
2005Madison HedgecockLAR , GM Charley Armey · North Carolina

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