Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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RB·pick 257

FIRST RB IN OUR WINDOW AT #257

Rock Cartwright

Drafted by WAS , GM Vinny Cerrato · Kansas St.

2002 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, RB grouping.

2
RBs drafted at #257 in NFL history
most recent: Jermar Jefferson (DET, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2001, the model gave a running back at #257 a 8.5% chance in 2002.

Running back at #257, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%16.3% 2002: 8.5%

Peak: 16.3% · 2027 model: 9.2%

Surrounding picks · 2002 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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