Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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RB·pick 30

FIRST RB IN OUR WINDOW AT #30

Jim Bertelsen

Drafted by LAR · Texas

1972 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, RB grouping.

9
RBs drafted at #30 in NFL history
most recent: Jahvid Best (DET, 2010)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1971, the model gave a running back at #30 a 16.0% chance in 1972.

Running back at #30, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%16.8% 1972: 16.0%

Peak: 16.8% · 2027 model: 5.0%

Surrounding picks · 1972 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 8 picks

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