RB · pick 38, First RB at #38 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, RB grouping. (1988)

RB·pick 38

FIRST RB IN OUR WINDOW AT #38

Tony Jeffery

Drafted by ARI , GM Bill Bidwill · TCU

1988 · round 2

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, RB grouping.

RBs drafted at #38 in NFL history

most recent: TreVeyon Henderson (NE, 2025)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1987, the model gave a running back at #38 a 10.3% chance in 1988.

Running back at #38, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 16.5% · 2027 model: 5.6%

Surrounding picks · 1988 draft

#33DEDanny StubbsSF , GM John McVay
#34DEShawn PattersonGB , GM Tom Braatz
#35SAnthony NewmanLAR , GM John Shaw
#36OTJumbo ElliottNYG , GM George Young
#37CBTerry WilliamsNYJ , GM Jim Kensil
#39DEPierce HoltSF , GM John McVay
#40RBThurman ThomasBUF , GM Bill Polian
#41LBKen Norton Jr.DAL , GM Tex Schramm
#42SJarvis WilliamsMIA , GM Don Shula
#43LBVincent BrownNE , GM Patrick Sullivan

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 6 picks

2025TreVeyon HendersonNE , GM Eliot Wolf · Ohio St.
2018Ronald Jones IITB , GM Jason Licht · USC
2011Ryan WilliamsARI , GM Rod Graves · Virginia Tech
2001Anthony ThomasCHI , GM Jerry Angelo · Michigan
1994Chuck LevyARI , GM Larry Wilson · Arizona
1990Harold GreenCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · South Carolina

→ see this cell on the full chart