Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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RB·pick 45

FIRST RB IN OUR WINDOW AT #45

Rob Lytle

Drafted by DEN · Michigan

1977 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, RB grouping.

9
RBs drafted at #45 in NFL history
most recent: Derrick Henry (TEN, 2016)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1976, the model gave a running back at #45 a 13.1% chance in 1977.

Running back at #45, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%16.3% 1977: 13.1%

Peak: 16.3% · 2027 model: 5.4%

Surrounding picks · 1977 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 8 picks

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