RB · pick 51, First RB at #51 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, RB grouping. (1983)

RB·pick 51

FIRST RB IN OUR WINDOW AT #51

Johnny Hector

Drafted by NYJ , GM Jim Kensil · Texas A&M

1983 · round 2

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, RB grouping.

RBs drafted at #51 in NFL history

most recent: Toby Gerhart (MIN, 2010)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1982, the model gave a running back at #51 a 11.7% chance in 1983.

Running back at #51, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 16.2% · 2027 model: 5.7%

Surrounding picks · 1983 draft

#46LBJody SchulzPHI , GM Jim Murray
#47WRDarryal WilsonNE , GM Patrick Sullivan
#48OGDave DrechslerGB , GM Bart Starr
#49RBRoger CraigSF , GM John McVay
#50LBMike WalterDAL , GM Tex Schramm
#52WRWayne CapersPIT , GM Dick Haley
#53SRay HortonCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#54DTBill PickelLV , GM Al Davis
#55DTMike CharlesMIA , GM Don Shula
#56RBRichard WilliamsWAS , GM Bobby Beathard

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2010Toby GerhartMIN , GM Rick Spielman · Stanford
2002Clinton PortisDEN , GM Mike Shanahan · Miami (FL)
1995Terrell FletcherLAC , GM Bobby Beathard · Wisconsin
1987Don SmithTB , GM Phil Krueger · Mississippi St.

→ see this cell on the full chart