Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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RB·pick 99

FIRST RB IN OUR WINDOW AT #99

Laverne Smith

Drafted by PIT · Kansas

1977 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, RB grouping.

4
RBs drafted at #99 in NFL history
most recent: Artose Pinner (DET, 2003)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1976, the model gave a running back at #99 a 12.9% chance in 1977.

Running back at #99, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%15.9% 1977: 12.9%

Peak: 15.9% · 2027 model: 7.4%

Surrounding picks · 1977 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

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