S · pick 10, First S at #10 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping. (1983)

S·pick 10

FIRST S IN OUR WINDOW AT #10

Terry Kinard

Drafted by NYG , GM George Young · Clemson

1983 · round 1

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping.

safeties drafted at #10 in NFL history

most recent: Rod Woodson (PIT, 1987)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1982, the model gave a safety at #10 a 4.1% chance in 1983.

Safety at #10, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 8.9% · 2027 model: 4.7%

Surrounding picks · 1983 draft

#5LBBilly Ray SmithLAC , GM Steve Ortmayer
#6OTJimbo CovertCHI , GM Jerry Vainisi
#7QBTodd BlackledgeKC , GM Jim Schaaf
#8RBMichael HaddixPHI , GM Jim Murray
#9OGBruce MatthewsTEN , GM Ladd Herzeg
#11CBTim LewisGB , GM Bart Starr
#12TETony HunterBUF , GM Stew Barber
#13RBJames JonesDET , GM Russ Thomas
#14QBJim KellyBUF , GM Stew Barber
#15QBTony EasonNE , GM Patrick Sullivan

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

1987Rod WoodsonPIT , GM Dick Haley · Purdue

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