S · pick 104, First S at #104 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping. (1987)

S·pick 104

FIRST S IN OUR WINDOW AT #104

Mark Moore

Drafted by SEA , GM Mike McCormack · Oklahoma St.

1987 · round 4

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping.

safeties drafted at #104 in NFL history

most recent: Dadrion Taylor-Demerson (ARI, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1986, the model gave a safety at #104 a 7.1% chance in 1987.

Safety at #104, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 11.1% · 2027 model: 6.5%

Surrounding picks · 1987 draft

#99RBTroy StradfordMIA , GM Don Shula
#100CBNajee MustafaaMIN , GM Mike Lynn
#101DESean SmithCHI , GM Bill Tobin
#102SDerrick BeasleyNE , GM Patrick Sullivan
#103TEJim RiggsCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#105LBMark DusbabekTEN , GM Ladd Herzeg
#106WRBruce HillTB , GM Phil Krueger
#107LBTim JordanNE , GM Patrick Sullivan
#108LBLarry KelmLAR , GM John Shaw
#109DELeon SealsBUF , GM Bill Polian

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 7 picks

2024Dadrion Taylor-DemersonARI , GM Monti Ossenfort · Texas Tech
2020Terrell BurgessLAR , GM Les Snead · Utah
2015James SampleJAX , GM David Caldwell · Louisville
2005Travis DanielsMIA , GM Randy Mueller · LSU
1999Jason PerryLAC , GM Bobby Beathard · North Carolina St.
1996Eric AustinTB , GM Rich McKay · Jackson St.
1988Michael BallIND , GM Jim Irsay/staff · Southern

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