S · pick 11, First S at #11 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping. (2018)

S·pick 11

FIRST S IN OUR WINDOW AT #11

Minkah Fitzpatrick

Drafted by MIA , GM Chris Grier · Alabama

2018 · round 1

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping.

safeties drafted at #11 in NFL history

most recent: Caleb Downs (DAL, 2026)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2017, the model gave a safety at #11 a 7.6% chance in 2018.

Safety at #11, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 8.6% · 2027 model: 5.1%

Surrounding picks · 2018 draft

#6OGQuenton NelsonIND , GM Chris Ballard
#7QBJosh AllenBUF , GM Brandon Beane
#8LBRoquan SmithCHI , GM Ryan Pace
#9OTMike McGlincheySF , GM John Lynch
#10QBJosh RosenARI , GM Steve Keim
#12DTVita VeaTB , GM Jason Licht
#13DTDaron PayneWAS , GM Bruce Allen
#14DEMarcus DavenportNO , GM Mickey Loomis
#15OTKolton MillerLV , GM Reggie McKenzie
#16LBTremaine EdmundsBUF , GM Brandon Beane

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2026Caleb DownsDAL · Ohio St.

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