S · pick 121, First S at #121 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping. (2006)

S·pick 121

FIRST S IN OUR WINDOW AT #121

Nate Salley

Drafted by CAR , GM Marty Hurney · Ohio St.

2006 · round 4

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping.

safeties drafted at #121 in NFL history

most recent: Chris Prosinski (JAX, 2011)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2005, the model gave a safety at #121 a 9.5% chance in 2006.

Safety at #121, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 10.5% · 2027 model: 5.9%

Surrounding picks · 2006 draft

#116LBStephen TullochTEN , GM Floyd Reese
#117RBLeon WashingtonNYJ , GM Mike Tannenbaum
#118STStephen GostkowskiNE , GM Bill Belichick
#119WRBrandon MarshallDEN , GM Mike Shanahan
#120LBJamar WilliamsCHI , GM Jerry Angelo
#122CBAlan ZemaitisTB , GM Bruce Allen
#123DTDomata PekoCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#124DTBarry CofieldNYG , GM Ernie Accorsi
#125WRSkyler GreenDAL , GM Jerry Jones
#126DEElvis DumervilDEN , GM Mike Shanahan

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2011Chris ProsinskiJAX , GM Gene Smith · Wyoming

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