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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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S·pick 159

FIRST S IN OUR WINDOW AT #159

Jake Scott

Drafted by MIA · Georgia

1970 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping.

5
safeties drafted at #159 in NFL history
most recent: K.J. Dillon (HOU, 2016)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1969, the model gave a safety at #159 a 7.3% chance in 1970.

Safety at #159, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%10.4% 1970: 7.3%

Peak: 10.4% · 2027 model: 6.5%

Surrounding picks · 1970 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart