S · pick 164, First S at #164 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping. (1983)

S·pick 164

FIRST S IN OUR WINDOW AT #164

Eric Williams

Drafted by PIT , GM Dick Haley · North Carolina St.

1983 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping.

safeties drafted at #164 in NFL history

most recent: Jamar Johnson (DEN, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1982, the model gave a safety at #164 a 6.4% chance in 1983.

Safety at #164, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 9.8% · 2027 model: 6.1%

Surrounding picks · 1983 draft

#159WRMike JonesMIN , GM Mike Lynn
#160CRon SamsGB , GM Bart Starr
#161CGrant FeaselIND , GM Ernie Accorsi
#162QBReggie CollierDAL , GM Tex Schramm
#163RBVincent WhiteNYJ , GM Jim Kensil
#165RBLarry KinnebrewCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#166OTBob WincklerWAS , GM Bobby Beathard
#167STReggie RobyMIA , GM Don Shula
#168QBBabe LaufenbergWAS , GM Bobby Beathard
#169RBAlvin MooreIND , GM Ernie Accorsi

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2021Jamar JohnsonDEN , GM George Paton · Indiana
2018Natrell JamersonNO , GM Mickey Loomis · Wisconsin

→ see this cell on the full chart