S · pick 169, First S at #169 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping. (2013)

S·pick 169

FIRST S IN OUR WINDOW AT #169

Josh Evans

Drafted by JAX , GM David Caldwell · Florida

2013 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping.

safeties drafted at #169 in NFL history

most recent: Kitan Oladapo (GB, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2012, the model gave a safety at #169 a 9.0% chance in 2013.

Safety at #169, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 9.9% · 2027 model: 6.5%

Surrounding picks · 2013 draft

#164RBMike GillisleeMIA , GM Jeff Ireland
#165STSam MartinDET , GM Martin Mayhew
#166STCaleb SturgisMIA , GM Jeff Ireland
#167DEJosh BoydGB , GM Ted Thompson
#168OTRicky WagnerBAL , GM Ozzie Newsome
#170CEric KushKC , GM John Dorsey
#171WRCorey FullerDET , GM Martin Mayhew
#172TENick KasaLV , GM Reggie McKenzie
#173OGVinston PainterDEN , GM John Elway
#174WRRyan SwopeARI , GM Steve Keim

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2024Kitan OladapoGB , GM Brian Gutekunst · Oregon St.
2021Richard LeCounteCLE , GM Andrew Berry · Georgia
2017Treston DecoudHOU , GM Rick Smith · Oregon St.

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