S · pick 17, First S at #17 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping. (1983)

S·pick 17

FIRST S IN OUR WINDOW AT #17

Leonard Smith

Drafted by ARI , GM Bill Bidwill · McNeese St.

1983 · round 1

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping.

safeties drafted at #17 in NFL history

most recent: Derwin James (LAC, 2018)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1982, the model gave a safety at #17 a 4.5% chance in 1983.

Safety at #17, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 9.2% · 2027 model: 5.0%

Surrounding picks · 1983 draft

#12TETony HunterBUF , GM Stew Barber
#13RBJames JonesDET , GM Russ Thomas
#14QBJim KellyBUF , GM Stew Barber
#15QBTony EasonNE , GM Patrick Sullivan
#16DTMike PittsATL , GM Tom Braatz
#18WRWillie GaultCHI , GM Jerry Vainisi
#19SJoey BrownerMIN , GM Mike Lynn
#20RBGary AndersonLAC , GM Steve Ortmayer
#21DTGabe RiveraPIT , GM Dick Haley
#22CBGill ByrdLAC , GM Steve Ortmayer

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2018Derwin JamesLAC , GM Tom Telesco · Florida St.
2016Keanu NealATL , GM Thomas Dimitroff · Florida

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