Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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S·pick 187

FIRST S IN OUR WINDOW AT #187

Brown, KeithKeith Brown

Drafted by NYJ · Minnesota

1979 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping.

6
safeties drafted at #187 in NFL history
most recent: Michael Tyson (SEA, 2017)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1978, the model gave a safety at #187 a 7.8% chance in 1979.

Safety at #187, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%10.3% 1979: 7.8%

Peak: 10.3% · 2027 model: 6.6%

Surrounding picks · 1979 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 5 picks

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