S · pick 194, First S at #194 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping. (1976)

S·pick 194

FIRST S IN OUR WINDOW AT #194

Chesley, JayJay Chesley

Drafted by SF · Vanderbilt

1976 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping.

safeties drafted at #194 in NFL history

most recent: Ryan Mundy (PIT, 2008)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1975, the model gave a safety at #194 a 7.7% chance in 1976.

Safety at #194, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 10.1% · 2027 model: 6.1%

Surrounding picks · 1976 draft

#188DEAbdul SalaamNYJ
#189DTCassidy, SteveSteve CassidyCLE
#190LBJerry MuckensturmCHI
#191DECarl HairstonPHI
#193WRKarl FarmerATL
#195SWilliams, JackieJackie WilliamsBUF
#196RBWellington, RodRod WellingtonKC

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2008Ryan MundyPIT , GM Kevin Colbert · West Virginia
1999Armon HatcherBUF , GM John Butler · Oregon St.
1986Bruce JonesCHI , GM Jerry Vainisi · North Alabama

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