Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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S·pick 195

FIRST S IN OUR WINDOW AT #195

Williams, JackieJackie Williams

Drafted by BUF · Texas A&M

1976 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping.

3
safeties drafted at #195 in NFL history
most recent: Michael Hawthorne (NO, 2000)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1975, the model gave a safety at #195 a 7.7% chance in 1976.

Safety at #195, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%9.9% 1976: 7.7%

Peak: 9.9% · 2027 model: 5.9%

Surrounding picks · 1976 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart