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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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S·pick 197

FIRST S IN OUR WINDOW AT #197

Stephen Hodge

Drafted by DAL , GM Jerry Jones · TCU

2009 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping.

3
safeties drafted at #197 in NFL history
most recent: Derron Smith (CIN, 2015)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2008, the model gave a safety at #197 a 8.7% chance in 2009.

Safety at #197, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%10.0% 2009: 8.7%

Peak: 10.0% · 2027 model: 6.4%

Surrounding picks · 2009 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart