S · pick 198, First S at #198 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping. (2000)

S·pick 198

FIRST S IN OUR WINDOW AT #198

Matt Bowen

Drafted by LAR , GM Charley Armey · Iowa

2000 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping.

safeties drafted at #198 in NFL history

most recent: Patrick McMorris (MIA, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1999, the model gave a safety at #198 a 8.9% chance in 2000.

Safety at #198, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 10.2% · 2027 model: 7.1%

Surrounding picks · 2000 draft

#193SDavid GibsonTB , GM Rich McKay
#194DTLeif LarsenBUF , GM John Butler
#195SMichael HawthorneNO , GM Randy Mueller
#196WREmanuel SmithJAX , GM Tom Coughlin
#197DERobaire SmithTEN , GM Floyd Reese
#199QBTom BradyNE , GM Bill Belichick
#200WRSherrod GideonNO , GM Randy Mueller
#201DEDavid NugentNE , GM Bill Belichick
#202QBTodd HusakWAS , GM Vinny Cerrato
#203CBDamen WheelerLAC , GM Bobby Beathard

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 5 picks

2024Patrick McMorrisMIA , GM Chris Grier · California
2023Jerrick ReedSEA , GM John Schneider · New Mexico
2020Antoine Brooks Jr.PIT , GM Kevin Colbert · Maryland
2011Tyler SashNYG , GM Jerry Reese · Iowa
2004Keith LewisSF , GM Terry Donahue · Oregon

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