S · pick 20, First S at #20 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping. (1989)

S·pick 20

FIRST S IN OUR WINDOW AT #20

Steve Atwater

Drafted by DEN , GM John Beake · Arkansas

1989 · round 1

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping.

safeties drafted at #20 in NFL history

most recent: Kareem Jackson (HOU, 2010)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1988, the model gave a safety at #20 a 5.5% chance in 1989.

Safety at #20, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 9.8% · 2027 model: 5.0%

Surrounding picks · 1989 draft

#15OTAndy HeckSEA , GM Tom Flores/Behring
#16WRHart Lee DykesNE , GM Patrick Sullivan
#17OTJoe WolfARI , GM Bill Bidwill
#18CBrian WilliamsNYG , GM George Young
#19DEWayne MartinNO , GM Jim Finks
#21DEBill HawkinsLAR , GM John Shaw
#22WRAndre RisonIND , GM Jim Irsay/staff
#23OTDavid WilliamsTEN , GM Ladd Herzeg
#24OGTom RickettsPIT , GM Dick Haley
#25SLouis OliverMIA , GM Don Shula

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2010Kareem JacksonHOU , GM Rick Smith · Alabama
2001Adam ArchuletaLAR , GM Charley Armey · Arizona St.

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