S · pick 202, First S at #202 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping. (1997)

S·pick 202

FIRST S IN OUR WINDOW AT #202

Steve Rosga

Drafted by NYJ , GM Bill Parcells · Colorado

1997 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping.

safeties drafted at #202 in NFL history

most recent: Jordan Pugh (CAR, 2010)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1996, the model gave a safety at #202 a 8.6% chance in 1997.

Safety at #202, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 10.2% · 2027 model: 6.4%

Surrounding picks · 1997 draft

#197WRNigea CarterTB , GM Rich McKay
#198DTEd JasperPHI , GM Tom Modrak
#199DERod ManuelPIT , GM Tom Donahoe
#200LBRichard HogansCHI , GM Mark Hatley
#201SRicky ParkerCHI , GM Mark Hatley
#203CBHudhaifa IsmaeliMIA , GM Jimmy Johnson
#204QBTony GrazianiATL , GM Harold Richardson
#205DEChris WardBAL , GM Ozzie Newsome
#206RBTerry BattleDET , GM Chuck Schmidt
#207QBKoy DetmerPHI , GM Tom Modrak

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2010Jordan PughCAR , GM Marty Hurney · Texas A&M
2001Renaldo HillARI , GM Bob Ferguson · Michigan St.

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