S · pick 206, First S at #206 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping. (2008)

S·pick 206

FIRST S IN OUR WINDOW AT #206

Haruki Nakamura

Drafted by BAL , GM Ozzie Newsome · Cincinnati

2008 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2007, the model gave a safety at #206 a 8.6% chance in 2008.

Safety at #206, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 9.6% · 2027 model: 5.9%

Surrounding picks · 2008 draft

#201CSteve JusticeIND , GM Bill Polian
#202RBMike HartIND , GM Bill Polian
#203LBAndy StudebakerPHI , GM Tom Heckert
#204RBLex HilliardMIA , GM Jeff Ireland
#205WRPierre GarconIND , GM Bill Polian
#207TEMatt SherryCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#208DEErvin BaldwinCHI , GM Jerry Angelo
#209QBMatt FlynnGB , GM Ted Thompson
#210DEBrian JohnstonKC , GM Carl Peterson
#211OTNate GarnerNYJ , GM Mike Tannenbaum

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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