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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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S·pick 207

FIRST S IN OUR WINDOW AT #207

Antoine Bethea

Drafted by IND , GM Bill Polian · Howard

2006 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping.

2
safeties drafted at #207 in NFL history
most recent: Myron Rolle (TEN, 2010)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2005, the model gave a safety at #207 a 8.7% chance in 2006.

Safety at #207, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%9.9% 2006: 8.7%

Peak: 9.9% · 2027 model: 6.2%

Surrounding picks · 2006 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

→ see this cell on the full chart