S · pick 21, First S at #21 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping. (1975)

S·pick 21

FIRST S IN OUR WINDOW AT #21

Tim Gray

Drafted by ARI · Texas A&M

1975 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping.

safeties drafted at #21 in NFL history

most recent: Darnell Savage Jr. (GB, 2019)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1974, the model gave a safety at #21 a 5.1% chance in 1975.

Safety at #21, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 9.9% · 2027 model: 5.5%

Surrounding picks · 1975 draft

#16TERuss FrancisNE
#17CBLouis WrightDEN
#18LBTom HendersonDAL
#19LBTom RuudBUF
#20OTDoug FranceLAR
#22CBMike WilliamsLAC
#23OTDarryl CarltonMIA
#24CBNeal ColzieLV
#25DEMark MullaneyMIN
#26CBDave BrownPIT

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 6 picks

2019Darnell Savage Jr.GB , GM Brian Gutekunst · Maryland
2014Ha Ha Clinton-DixGB , GM Ted Thompson · Alabama
2007Reggie NelsonJAX , GM James Harris · Florida
2001Nate ClementsBUF , GM Tom Donahoe · Ohio St.
1985Jerry GrayLAR , GM John Shaw · Texas
1976Tim FoxNE · Ohio State

→ see this cell on the full chart