Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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S·pick 216

FIRST S IN OUR WINDOW AT #216

Armon Williams

Drafted by TEN , GM Floyd Reese · Arizona

1997 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping.

5
safeties drafted at #216 in NFL history
most recent: Kamren Curl (WAS, 2020)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1996, the model gave a safety at #216 a 8.6% chance in 1997.

Safety at #216, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%10.3% 1997: 8.6%

Peak: 10.3% · 2027 model: 6.9%

Surrounding picks · 1997 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart