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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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S·pick 22

FIRST S IN OUR WINDOW AT #22

John Pitts

Drafted by BUF · Arizona State

1967 · earliest year in the data window · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping.

2
safeties drafted at #22 in NFL history
most recent: Tebucky Jones (NE, 1998)

How rare was this draftigami?

No rarity score , the model compares each pick to its predictions for earlier seasons, and drafts from 1967–1969 sit before that runway is long enough.

Safety at #22, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%9.6%

Peak: 9.6% · 2027 model: 4.8%

Surrounding picks · 1967 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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