Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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S·pick 221

FIRST S IN OUR WINDOW AT #221

Reggie Rusk

Drafted by TB , GM Rich McKay · Kentucky

1996 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping.

2
safeties drafted at #221 in NFL history
most recent: Shalom Luani (LV, 2017)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1995, the model gave a safety at #221 a 8.6% chance in 1996.

Safety at #221, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%9.6% 1996: 8.6%

Peak: 9.6% · 2027 model: 6.0%

Surrounding picks · 1996 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

→ see this cell on the full chart