Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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S·pick 223

FIRST S IN OUR WINDOW AT #223

Than Merrill

Drafted by TB , GM Rich McKay · Yale

2001 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping.

3
safeties drafted at #223 in NFL history
most recent: Trey Taylor (LV, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2000, the model gave a safety at #223 a 8.9% chance in 2001.

Safety at #223, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%9.7% 2001: 8.9%

Peak: 9.7% · 2027 model: 6.5%

Surrounding picks · 2001 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart