Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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S·pick 226

FIRST S IN OUR WINDOW AT #226

Pat Tillman

Drafted by ARI , GM Bob Ferguson · Arizona St.

1998 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1997, the model gave a safety at #226 a 8.7% chance in 1998.

Safety at #226, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%9.6% 1998: 8.7%

Peak: 9.6% · 2027 model: 6.0%

Surrounding picks · 1998 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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