S · pick 229, First S at #229 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping. (2011)

S·pick 229

FIRST S IN OUR WINDOW AT #229

Jonathan Nelson

Drafted by LAR , GM Billy Devaney · Oklahoma

2011 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping.

safeties drafted at #229 in NFL history

most recent: Adrian Colbert (SF, 2017)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2010, the model gave a safety at #229 a 8.0% chance in 2011.

Safety at #229, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 9.5% · 2027 model: 6.2%

Surrounding picks · 2011 draft

#224DEMarkus WhiteWAS , GM Bruce Allen
#225RBAnthony AllenBAL , GM Ozzie Newsome
#226DTGreg RomeusNO , GM Mickey Loomis
#227WRScotty McKnightNYJ , GM Mike Tannenbaum
#228LBJabara WilliamsLAR , GM Billy Devaney
#230DECliff MatthewsATL , GM Thomas Dimitroff
#231DTFrank KearseMIA , GM Jeff Ireland
#232RBBaron BatchPIT , GM Kevin Colbert
#233DTLawrence GuyGB , GM Ted Thompson
#234LBAndrew GachkarLAC , GM A.J. Smith

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2017Adrian ColbertSF , GM John Lynch · Miami (FL)

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