S · pick 249, First S at #249 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping. (1996)

S·pick 249

FIRST S IN OUR WINDOW AT #249

Eric Smedley

Drafted by BUF , GM John Butler · Indiana

1996 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping.

safeties drafted at #249 in NFL history

most recent: Brian Cole II (MIN, 2020)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1995, the model gave a safety at #249 a 8.5% chance in 1996.

Safety at #249, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 9.6% · 2027 model: 6.4%

Surrounding picks · 1996 draft

#243RBRyan WoodDAL , GM Jerry Jones
#244TEJay RiemersmaBUF , GM John Butler
#246TEHenry LuskNO , GM Bill Kuharich
#247OGJ.R. ConradNE , GM Bill Parcells
#248OGJoey WylieLV , GM Al Davis era
#250WRDeAndre MaxwellWAS , GM Charley Casserly
#251WRBrice HunterMIA , GM Jimmy Johnson
#252DEKeith McKenzieGB , GM Ron Wolf
#253RBMichael HicksCHI , GM Rod Graves
#254LBSam ManuelSF , GM Carmen Policy

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2020Brian Cole IIMIN , GM Rick Spielman · Mississippi St.
2008Chris HortonWAS , GM Vinny Cerrato · UCLA

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