Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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S·pick 25

FIRST S IN OUR WINDOW AT #25

Louis Oliver

Drafted by MIA , GM Don Shula · Florida

1989 · round 1

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping.

5
safeties drafted at #25 in NFL history
most recent: Dillon Thieneman (CHI, 2026)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1988, the model gave a safety at #25 a 5.8% chance in 1989.

Safety at #25, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%10.2% 1989: 5.8%

Peak: 10.2% · 2027 model: 5.5%

Surrounding picks · 1989 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart