S · pick 251, First S at #251 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping. (2010)

S·pick 251

FIRST S IN OUR WINDOW AT #251

Stevie Brown

Drafted by LV , GM Al Davis era · Michigan

2010 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, S grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2009, the model gave a safety at #251 a 8.0% chance in 2010.

Safety at #251, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 9.6% · 2027 model: 6.1%

Surrounding picks · 2010 draft

#246CBRay FisherIND , GM Bill Polian
#247DEBrandon DeaderickNE , GM Bill Belichick
#248DTKade WestonNE , GM Bill Belichick
#249CBRobert McClainCAR , GM Marty Hurney
#250QBZac RobinsonNE , GM Bill Belichick
#252LBAustin SpitlerMIA , GM Jeff Ireland
#253DEErik LorigTB , GM Mark Dominik
#254LBJosh HullLAR , GM Billy Devaney
#255WRTim TooneDET , GM Martin Mayhew

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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